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Release: Land Leads Peters – Dykstra- Peters Dead Heat Senate Seat Toss-up

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P R E S S   R E L E A S E

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

Contact: Steve Mitchell, Cell: 248-891-2414

September 3, 2013

Land Leads Peters – Dykstra- Peters Dead Heat Senate Seat Toss-up

Land 39%-Peters 36% and Peters 39%-Dykstra 37%

EAST LANSING, Mich. — Although Republicans have not won a U.S. Senate seat in 20 years, the 2014 race is shaping up as one that could change the GOP’s luck.  U.S. Congressman Gary Peters trails former Michigan Secretary of State Terri Lynn Land (39%-36%) and is in a statistical dead heat with Holland Mayor Kurt Dykstra (37%-38%) according to the latest Mitchell Poll released today.  The automated telephone survey of 1881 likely 2014 General Election voters was conducted by Mitchell Research & Communications, Inc. on August 26, 2013 and has a margin of error of + or – 2.23%.

“Republicans have a real shot at taking Democratic Senator Carl Levin’s seat next year.  Terri Lynn Land has a three percent lead over Gary Peters while Kurt Dykstra, who is essentially unknown statewide, is in a statistical tie.  The fact that someone with relatively low name identification can be tied with a sitting congressman shows that both the Republicans and Democrats are getting the base vote.  Either Land or Dykstra could win this race with enough money behind them,” Steve Mitchell, Chairman of Mitchell Research & Communications, Inc. said.

One of the surprises in the survey was support based on gender.  Among women, Peters has a five point lead over Land (38%-33%) and an eight point lead over Dykstra (40%-32%). However, the big difference for Land is her lead with men. Land leads with males by 14% (47%-33%) while Dykstra’s lead is just 5% (42%-37%).

“Men always identify more as Republicans than women, but I would have thought that Land would do better with her own gender than with the opposite sex,” Mitchell continued.

Other highlights of the poll include:

  • By party affiliation:
    • Among Democrats, Peters leads Land by 68%-10% and Dykstra by 76%-6%.
    • With Republicans, Land leads Peters by 77%-5%, Dykstra leads Peters by 78%-5%.
    • By union household:
      • Peters leads Land in Labor Households by 44%-33% and Dykstra by 48%-29%.
      • In Non-Labor Households, Land leads Peters 43%-31% and Peters leads Dykstra 48%-29%.
      • By race:
        • Among whites Land leads Peters 44%-32% and Dykstra leads Peters 41%-35%.
        • With African Americans, Peters leads Land by 61%-8% and Dykstra by 75%-7%.
        • Among other races Peters leads Land 33%-21% and Dykstra by 30%-24%.
        • By gender:
          • Land leads Peters overwhelmingly with males 47%-33% and Dykstra leads Peters with males by 42%-37%.
          • With females, Peters leads Land 38%-33% and Peters leads Dykstra by 40%-32%.

When comparing just Land to Dykstra our poll found:

  • By party affiliation:
    • With Republicans, Land leads Dykstra 40%-25%
    • By union household:
      • Land leads Dykstra in both Union and Non-Households.
      • By age:
        • Land leads Dykstra in all age groups except 40-49 year-olds where they are tied at (30%-30%).
        • By race:
          • Among whites, Land leads Dykstra 40%-26%.
          • With African Americans, Land leads Dykstra 29%-14%.
          • Among other races, Land leads Dykstra 43%-0%.

Posted in: Latest Poll Data, Release

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